The Super Bowl LIV has the San Francisco 49ers and favorites and the Kansas City Chiefs as underdogs. But recent numbers show tight margins between the two teams at -1 and -1.5, which makes it a lot more difficult to predict Sunday’s winner.
Not only is this Super Bowl a record holder in terms of ticket prices, another one of the many things that make this Super Bowl special is the fact that it holds a line below 2.0, and this could only be the fourth time this happened in history. This means we could witness a barnburner as it is also predicted to be one of the highest-scoring matches in NFL history.
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Time & Date: February 3, Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Where To Watch: FOX
Referee: Bill Vinovich
Line: Kansas City -1.5 (opened at -1.5)
Total: 54.5 (opened at 52.5)
The San Francisco 49ers running back, Tevin Coleman, currently fights a dislocated shoulder that he suffered in the NFC Championship match. Linebacker Kwon Alexander is held back by his limited practice time but should be healthy as the match draws closer.
Defensive lineman Dee Ford is fighting a knee/hamstring injury keeping him from playing at full capacity, while tight end George Kittle admitted to playing with a torn labrum in his right shoulder that’s been present since 2018. Meanwhile, Marquise Goodwin and Wston Richburg are limited by a knee injury and Trent Taylor is suffering a foot injury, all of which are on injured reserve.
Kansas City injuries see tight end Travis Kelce and defensive lineman Chris Jones suffering from a knee and calf problem, respectively. But both currently look good for a healthy Chiefs squad. The team also adjusted to strategies that do not involve defenders Breeland Speaks, Juan Thornhill, Alex Okafor, and Emmanuel Ogbah, who are all sat down on injured reserve.
The Winning Pick
You’ll find that many still support the underdog, and this is backed by the fact that the Chiefs are the better overall team despite the 49ers having one of the best players in the league. San Francisco is bound to create many plays, while San Francisco is expected to limit the scoring opportunities of the opponent with their deep defensive front together with the league’s best pass defense. The 49ers get the edge here as they have a stellar defensive line that can outdo Kansas City’s offense.
However, there are suggestions that say that San Francisco’s stacked defense can backfire. Five of the last nine Super Bowl winners gave up more than 24 points in the process of winning the game. These are elements that the Chiefs thrive in, who have secured a total of 86 points in their last seven quarters of playoff matches. The 49ers are a definite challenge, but Mahomes is a different beast when it comes to playing under pressure and for the biggest trophy of the season. With proper preparation, the Chiefs can overcome the seemingly air-tight 49ers defense.
Ultimately, some would argue with the concept of the 49ers having a deeper squad and bigger talents. And while the Chiefs secured both of their playoff matches by double-digits, this is countered by falling behind by double digits in both outings. Against a 49ers team that has five takeaways and an impressive nine sacks in two postseason blowouts, Kansas can never let their guard down for a second.
Final score prediction: 49ers 28, Chiefs 27